About
A coalition for analysis and counsel on national security.
The Arcis Project is based in Virginia and works on threats to the United States at home and abroad.
Mission
The Arcis Project is an organization built to bolster civil welfare by identifying and analyzing technological, economic, and geopolitical factors shaping American security interests.
Some threats fall between agency mandates. Others outpace federal budget and procurement cycles. We identify them early and work to close them through analysis, advising, and policy advocacy.
What We Produce
- Early Warning Threat AssessmentsJudgments on emerging security gaps, with stated confidence levels, written for decision-makers.
- Strategic Option MemosFor each assessed threat, the responses available, their tradeoffs, and a recommended path.
- Policy EngagementAdvocacy for the fixes our memos recommend, and advisory briefings to federal stakeholders where the answer is strategic action.
Method
We work from evidence.
The research agenda is set internally and reviewed by the board. Each judgment rests on open-source analysis, cited sources, and a stated confidence level. Any expansion of collection methods proceeds only after legal review.
Threat flags issue within weeks of identification. Assessments and strategic option memos are scoped at intake with a stated delivery date.
What We Do Not Do
- SpeculateWe do not present conjecture as finding. Where evidence is incomplete, we say so.
- Sell conclusionsDonors do not review or approve findings before publication.
- Act for othersWe do not speak on behalf of any government, company, or campaign.